Saturday, March 20, 2010

Economic Indicators

Current Economic Indicators for the year end 2007 for Buenos Aires and Argentina show continued growth as the country continues to benefit from large income from agricultural exports, commodity prices and a revived construction expansion. For more details on this and Property Values in Buenos Aires, see Economic Indicators.

2010 forecast growth for Argentina is reported to be expected to be around 5-6%, despite international market problems across the US and other countries.


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Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Property Construction Boom in Buenos Aires

It’s 2008 and Buenos Aires continues to experience the largest property construction boom in its history. The Argentine economy is growing at 9% a year making it the fastest growing country in the Americas. Construction spending in 2006 was up 25% with housing and office construction in Buenos Aires fueling the growth. Property values in Buenos Aires have increased at a 10% annual rate for the past three years. Rental properties easily earn a 10% annual rate of return on investment. Prices are rising once again given foreign interest in Argentina as an investment target. Despite the massive downturn in property values internationally in 2007 with the same trend to continue into 2011, the Argentine property values are not expected to suffer the same massive value loss, given particular local market conditions.

The city has one of the highest skyscraper counts anywhere with 1,611 high-rise buildings, spreading as far as the horizon. There are about 200 new residential complexes being built in Buenos Aires. It costs between US$600 and $900 per square metre to build a residential tower with amenities (construction costs have increased by 80% over the past few years). Price of land is between US$500 and $800 for every square metre that can be built on.

For more information and details of commercial and residential development and building construction under way, in Buenos Aires, see :

Media – items from the international press

Investing in Argentina’s real estate - www.dailyreckoning.co.uk

…Argentina, because it is Argentina, may never command prices on par with Europe or the States, but if the discount goes from one-tenth the price to two-tenths the price – real estate prices will have doubled…

Buenos Aires, Argentina. Travellers sometimes call it “the Paris of South America,” for good reasons, which I’ll get to momentarily. More importantly for investors, though, it is also a place where prime waterfront real estate goes for prices only one-tenth of what comparable properties go for in Europe and the United States. There are reasons for that, too. But I’ll make the case that they are not good reasons.

Argentine real estate may never trade on par with Europe or the United States. But if it is two-tenths as valuable, prices will double. Sounds like a fair bet to me. Especially since Argentina’s real estate is practically bubble-proof at this stage.

Investing in Argentina’s real estate: The 2001 meltdown

Investors who think about Argentina in their reflective moments perhaps recall the awful meltdown in 2001. If they had any money in Argentina back then, they probably recall the episode with a shiver and reach for the brandy.

The litany of woes was great. Bank accounts are frozen. The peso loses 75% of its value. The government defaults on its debt. The economy falls apart. Unemployment hits 25%. Violent protests in the streets. The stock market collapses. From 1998-2002, the Argentine economy actually shrank by about a fifth.

When the Argentines have a crisis, they don’t mess around.

Emerging markets generally have a habit of melting down every once in a while. Just look at the roll call over the last dozen years or so: the Tequila Crisis (Mexico, 1994), the Asian Crisis in 1997, Turkey in 2000, Argentina in 2001 and Venezuela in 2002. And I’m probably forgetting somebody.

All in all, it was a tough stretch for emerging markets. Investors in these countries at these times stood about as much a chance as a toupee in gale-force winds. Consider that from 1994-2002, the MSCI emerging market index lost 60% of its value.

However, these markets also snap back famously. Last year, the MSCI index (a common benchmark for emerging markets) climbed back to its 1994 peak – and made back all those losses. Then, in May-June of this year, emerging markets as a group lost a quarter of their value in stunning fashion. It was a little reminder that stability and emerging markets are an unnatural pairing, like a courtship between a snake and an eagle.

Investing in Argentina’s real estate: Since the crisis

Still, there are times to buy. With that thought in mind, let’s take a look at Argentina four years after the crisis.

Argentina has always had a romantic quality to it. The eyes of travelers everywhere widen at the thought of those lush grasslands of the Pampas, the rolling plateaus of Patagonia, the rugged Andes Mountains in the west and Tierra del Fuego (“Land of Fire”) at the southernmost tip.

Travellers also probably fondly recall Argentina’s biggest city, Buenos Aires. With more than 11 million people, about one-third of all Argentines live in and around the city. Buenos Aires has its charms. One of them is being easy on the wallet, a fact that has attracted a growing expat community.

The European-flavoured architecture reflects the influences of its early settlers. There are wide avenues and plazas. You can wander down cobbled streets finding old-time cafes and world-class restaurants. Enjoy empanadas – small meat-filled dough pockets – which are a staple in the city. Be sure to visit one of the many local parillas (or grills) and you will find out why the Argentines consume more beef per head than any other country. Something about those free-ranging cattle on the fertile plains of the Pampas produces some of the world’s tastiest beef. A good meal with wine and an unforgettable steak can cost less than a pair of movie tickets.

Argentina is also the eighth largest country in the world and the second largest in South America. Yet its economy ranks only 38th in size globally – behind countries such as Iran, Portugal and Greece. Somehow, it feels like it should be bigger.

It is also one of the world’s fastest growing economies, and Buenos Aires is among the world’s fastest growing cities. “Perhaps the most tangible sign of Argentina’s economic recovery,” The Wall Street Journal reports, “is its booming real estate market, which has transformed Buenos Aires, the capital, into a construction site.” Though gauging economic growth is a tricky business, estimates peg Argentina’s at around 8% annually.

The stock market has come back, and real estate has been a top performer. Those who survived the debacle in 2001-02 looked to real estate as a safe haven against further inflation. Then, too, foreign investors snapped up cheap real estate as easily as they downed those magnificent steaks.

Investing in Argentina’s real estate: Real estate prices

According to an Argentine real estate trade group, Camara Inmobiliaria Argentina, housing prices have increased 50% since 2002. Even though real estate prices have soared, they still look surprisingly cheap.

Prices in prime real estate locations are only one-tenth of what they are in the United States and Europe. Puerto Madero is one such prime location. Restaurants and lofts converted from old warehouses now line the old port. It is a popular barrio, or neighbourhood, in Buenos Aires. There is also, as the Journal notes, “420 acres of undeveloped land within walking distance of the financial district, and an open view to Rio de la Plata, the wide estuary that separates Argentina and Uruguay.”

This area is among the swankiest and most expensive in town. Prices go for $280 per square foot. For similarly located property in the United States or Europe, you could pay 10 times that. It’s not surprising, then, that many buyers of cheap Argentine real estate are foreigners.

There are inconveniences. For one thing, Argentina’s mortgage market is practically nonexistent. Real estate transactions are mainly in cash. That means meeting someplace secure and counting out piles of notes before pushing them across a table to the seller. Then, the other side recounts the money.

Therefore, easy credit and excessive leverage do not make up the foundations of the Argentine real estate boom. In other words, it’s almost bubble-proof – though that could change at some point. The government is taking steps to encourage mortgages. But for now, it would seem Argentine real estate has a long way to go.

Argentina, because it is Argentina, may never command prices on par with Europe or the States, but if the discount goes from one-tenth the price to two-tenths the price – real estate prices will have doubled. That’s a small step for a market that is only beginning to use housing loans and is only a few years from a major financial crisis.

by Chris Mayer

Buenos Aires enjoys property boom – Guardian Unlimited, by Olvier Bach

Argentina is climbing out of its economic crisis by tempting foreigners to buy homes in its capital.

Recycled, New York-style loft apartment. En-suite bedroom, plus spacious roof terrace. Located in the heart of one of the world’s most exotic capital cities. Price tag? Roughly the same as a private parking space in central London.

It is little wonder that foreigners are flocking to Buenos Aires to snap up the city’s property bargains. The most exclusive districts of the Argentine capital average between £1,000 and £1,600 per square metre.

By comparison to other major world cities, it’s a steal. A central apartment in Moscow will set you back around £2,700 per square metre. For London, prospective buyers are looking at closer to £3,580.

“Foreigners look around and they are thrilled with the idea of what they can get for their money,” says Cecilia Campbell of Buenos Aires-based estate agents, Reynolds Properties.

Dan Perlman, a professional chef from the US, is one of those recently lured onto the Buenos Aires’ property ladder. Having sold his apartment in New York, he originally came to spend a few months just to get to know the city.

“I found that I really liked it here,” says Mr Perlman, the new owner of a spacious apartment in Buenos Aires’ Recoleta neighbourhood.

Recoleta’s Parisian architecture and famous cafés make it one of the most popular buys for foreigners. Other classic favourites include the downtown district of Barrio Norte and the refurbished port area of Puerto Madero.

Property prices have been rising steadily over the last few years, as Argentina begins to climb out of a major economic crisis in 2001-2002. House prices in the Buenos Aires’ wealthier districts shot up as much as 25% last year.

The market is showing signs of stabilising now. All the same, investors in buy-to-rent properties can still expect rental income worth 4%-6% of the original sale price.

But the big gains are to be made in the city’s less traditional areas, says Argentine independent property agent, Maria Garvey: “There are still plenty of great opportunities for investors ready to take a risk with more up-and-coming neighbourhoods.”

“Lots of foreigners, for example, are interested in purchasing in off-beat districts like San Telmo and Barracas, where there are still some real bargains. Right now, Palermo Viejo is the really hot place to buy.” Once home to writer Luis Borges, Palermo Viejo’s bohemian feel has given way to a seriously trendy vibe in recent years. Its cobbled streets are now awash with fashionable boutiques, ultra-cool bars and multiple ‘for-sale’ signs.

Palermo Viejo’s cachet is most evident in the desperate rebranding attempts of its estate agents. Potential buyers now have to negotiate the subtle differences between Palermo Soho, Palermo Hollywood and, the latest, Palermo Queens.

American-born Jennifer Juhasz, owner of a film production company, bought a £97,000 property in the area early last year. When she came to sell in May, she faced a “bidding war”. The two-bedroom house eventually went to a Canadian investor for £160,000.

Oliver Balch is a Buenos Aires-based journalist specialising in sustainable development and Latin American affairs Email o_balch@hotmail.com

This brief insight to Buenos Aires construction has been compiled by Russell Ferrier as part of a larger guide to property buying and property renovation in Buenos Aires.

For more information, see TopFloor.blog.com or contact Russell Ferrier by email : russell_ferrier@hotmail.com

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Friday, January 1, 2010

In The News

For more articles published in the International Media about Buenos Aires and Argentina, see

www.inthenews.blog.com

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